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	<title>Local Democracy &#187; Certainty</title>
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	<link>http://blog.localdemocracy.org.uk</link>
	<description>Promoting innovation and a conversational local politics</description>
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		<title>Why &#8216;Microparticipation&#8217; is so important</title>
		<link>http://blog.localdemocracy.org.uk/2011/05/10/why-microparticipation-is-so-important/#utm_source=feed&#038;utm_medium=feed&#038;utm_campaign=feed</link>
		<comments>http://blog.localdemocracy.org.uk/2011/05/10/why-microparticipation-is-so-important/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 10 May 2011 10:34:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Paul Evans</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Being a politician]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Consultations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Conversational localities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Deliberative democracy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Democratic renewal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Distributed moral wisdom]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Obstacles for democrats to overcome]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Political innovation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Web 2.0 and democracy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Certainty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dunning-Kruger effect]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mircoparticipation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Social media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Usability]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.localdemocracy.org.uk/?p=2612</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[My friend Mick Phythian picked up a very useful motto/warning for anyone promoting e-government projects a while ago. To government, your time is worth £Zero &#8211; and this is why e-government fails. This explains why a very sharp idea that Dave Briggs has been working on recently &#8211; promoting the notion of &#8216;Microparticipation&#8217; with a [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[
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<p>My friend Mick Phythian picked up a very useful motto/warning for anyone promoting e-government projects a while ago. <a href="http://greatemancipator.com/2010/01/04/the-case-is-adjourned/">To government, your time is worth £Zero &#8211; and this is why e-government fails</a>.</p>
<div id="attachment_2615" class="wp-caption alignleft" style="width: 182px"><a href="http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Clocks_001.JPG"><img class="size-full wp-image-2615" title="Clock" src="http://blog.localdemocracy.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2011/05/clock.jpg" alt="" width="172" height="190" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">A good democracy has to value everyone&#39;s time properly (click for pic credit)</p></div>
<p>This explains why a very sharp idea that Dave Briggs has been working on recently &#8211; promoting <a href="http://microparticipation.com/">the notion of &#8216;Microparticipation&#8217; with a dedicated idea-site here</a> &#8211; is so important.</p>
<p>We are, after all, being gently forced to comply with other people&#8217;s procedures where it is in their interest to invest in this compulsion (or<em> &#8216;nudging&#8217;</em> as it is gently put).</p>
<p>This is the whole trajectory of the World Wide Web &#8211; from the first release of HTML scripts and early browsers in the early 1990s, through the progressive development of website coding and site-building tools, the burgeoning science of Accessibility, Usability and the &#8216;Semantic Web&#8217; through to the aggressive mainstreaming that it has undergone in recent years as social media has dragged billions of people into compliance with the web. Social media is a conspiracy to dovetail all of our economic activity with the processes of the organisations that invest in online applications.<span id="more-2612"></span></p>
<p>By &#8216;compliance&#8217; I don&#8217;t just mean the &#8216;compliant code&#8217; beloved of good web-designers. I mean our <em>social</em> compliance. We go to our local bank or town hall less often these days &#8211; we often go to their website, comply with their security procedures and fill out forms that are convenient for them &#8211; as suppliers &#8211; so that they can reduce &#8216;avoidable contact&#8217; and thereby be more efficient.</p>
<p>In theory, this benefits shareholders and ratepayers respectively. But I&#8217;m waiting for a conspiracy theorist to start kicking up about this. One <em>could</em> take the view that this quote from the 19th Century Anarchist Pierre-Joseph Proudhon could apply equally to our relationship with corporations today:</p>
<blockquote><p><em>&#8220;To be governed is to be watched, inspected, spied upon, directed, law-driven, numbered, regulated, enrolled, indoctrinated, preached at, controlled, checked, estimated, valued, censured, commanded, by creatures who have neither the right nor the wisdom nor the virtue to do so. </em></p>
<p><em>To be governed is to be at every operation, at every transaction noted, registered, counted, taxed, stamped, measured, numbered, assessed, licensed, authorized, admonished, prevented, forbidden, reformed, corrected, punished. </em></p>
<p><em>It is, under pretext of public utility, and in the name of the general interest, to be placed under contribution, drilled, fleeced, exploited, monopolized, extorted from, squeezed, hoaxed, robbed; then, at the slightest resistance, the first word of complaint, to be repressed, fined, vilified, harassed, hunted down, abused, clubbed, disarmed, bound, choked, imprisoned, judged, condemned, shot, deported, sacrificed, sold, betrayed; and to crown all, mocked, ridiculed, derided, outraged, dishonoured. </em></p>
<p><em>That is government; that is it&#8217;s justice; that is it&#8217;s morality.&#8221;</em></p></blockquote>
<p>OK. That&#8217;s all probably a bit OTT. But where it matters, the business logic behind <em>usability</em> is very strong. Make it easy and attractive for people to comply and they are more likely to do so.</p>
<p>But in a democracy, this is a double-edged sword. If an organisation or government ask us for our opinion, or evidence, without it being a low-cost exercise for us, they will get hugely unrepresentative responses. They will get responses from&#8230;</p>
<ul>
<li>the time rich</li>
<li>commercial lobbies</li>
<li>individuals with a vested interest in a particular issue (this can be financial, cultural, ideological or faith-based, for example)</li>
</ul>
<p>Of course democracies can&#8217;t afford to pay the public all of the time (though the use of commercial polling firms and focus groups are a well-established way of consulting the public). Increasingly, we are going to be asked to participate in government.</p>
<p>It is for this reason that it is vital that quick light responses are sought. That people seeking feedback are prepared to invest in ways of going to where the public already are and making it quick and easy to comply with their requests.</p>
<p>Last week, <a href="http://blog.localdemocracy.org.uk/2011/04/28/uk-campaign-for-a-stronger-democracy/#utm_source=feed&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=feed">I posted a list of attributes that <em>a good democracy</em> could have</a> &#8211; attributes that I beleive would be accepted accross the political spectrum &#8211; and ones that most liberal democracies could do a lot better on. Of my original 17 points, eight would be directly served if Microparticipation were to become a mainstream idea (no17 in particular). They are&#8230;..</p>
<p>1)      Wider participation in policy formation is a good thing – it increases the public stake in collective decision-making</p>
<p>2)      A more diverse polity reflecting a greater panorama of perspectives can only improve democracy</p>
<p>3)      Decision making should not be dominated by people who have more time or wealth than others</p>
<p>6)      People with a vested interest in particular outcomes should  never have the capacity to crowd out people with mild preferences</p>
<p>7)      For deliberation to work, doubt and equivocation must be encouraged – and not crowded out by ‘conviction’</p>
<p>10)   Interest groups are good at achieving their aims at the expense of everybody else. These powers must be counterbalanced</p>
<p>11)   Media owners should have no more influence on policymaking than  anyone else. Their abuse of this power should be challenged</p>
<p><em><strong>17) Broad participation requires investment. Those asking questions have a duty to make it very easy and attractive to answer</strong></em></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>There is one other factor here: Democratic deliberation is better when people who are uncertain, disinterested and equivocal can dominate the conversation. I&#8217;ve argued it a number of times here before [<a href="http://blog.localdemocracy.org.uk/2010/03/18/should-dont-knows-be-discouraged-from-voting/#utm_source=feed&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=feed">example</a>]. My own most oft-repeated quote at the moment is from Darwin: <em>“Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge.&#8221; &#8211; and my favourite Wikipedia link is to this page about</em> <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect">the Dunning-Kruger effect</a>. (Shorter version: certainty is a bad thing!)</p>
<div id="crp_related"><h3>Related Posts:</h3><ul><li><a href="http://blog.localdemocracy.org.uk/2011/04/28/uk-campaign-for-a-stronger-democracy/#utm_source=feed&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=feed" rel="bookmark" class="crp_title">UK Campaign for a Stronger Democracy?</a></li><li><a href="http://blog.localdemocracy.org.uk/2010/01/25/a-way-of-involving-the-hard-to-reach-groups-and-the-expense-of-the-hard-to-avoids/#utm_source=feed&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=feed" rel="bookmark" class="crp_title">A way of involving the &#8216;hard-to-reach&#8217; groups and the expense of the &#8216;hard-to-avoids&#8217;</a></li><li><a href="http://blog.localdemocracy.org.uk/2010/07/26/public-service-media-as-an-asset-to-democracy-where-next/#utm_source=feed&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=feed" rel="bookmark" class="crp_title">Public service media as an asset to democracy: Where next?</a></li><li><a href="http://blog.localdemocracy.org.uk/2011/06/06/democracy-and-optimal-policymaking-a-few-signposts/#utm_source=feed&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=feed" rel="bookmark" class="crp_title">Democracy and optimal policymaking &#8211; a few signposts</a></li><li><a href="http://blog.localdemocracy.org.uk/2009/01/09/guidelines-confetti-a-few-observations/#utm_source=feed&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=feed" rel="bookmark" class="crp_title">Guidelines confetti &#8211; a few observations</a></li></ul></div>
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			<wfw:commentRss>http://blog.localdemocracy.org.uk/2011/05/10/why-microparticipation-is-so-important/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
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		<item>
		<title>The lust for certainty &#8211; a sin?</title>
		<link>http://blog.localdemocracy.org.uk/2009/01/19/the-lust-for-certainty-a-sin/#utm_source=feed&#038;utm_medium=feed&#038;utm_campaign=feed</link>
		<comments>http://blog.localdemocracy.org.uk/2009/01/19/the-lust-for-certainty-a-sin/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Jan 2009 16:15:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Paul Evans</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Being a politician]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Consultations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Conversational localities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Deliberative democracy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Distributed moral wisdom]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pressure groups]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Certainty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Eavesdroppable]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Groupthink]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Irony]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Neutrality]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Podcast]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wisdom of Crowds]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.localdemocracy.org.uk/?p=390</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In a very good edition of BBC Radio 4&#8242;s &#8216;Analysis&#8217; programme towards the end of last year, the columnist David Aaronovich recounted a programme that he produced in the 1980s featuring the Archbishop of York, John Hapgood. The Archbishop, as far as I can see, had the kind of views that would appeal to a [...]]]></description>
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<div class="topsy_widget_data topsy_theme_brown" style="float: right;margin-left: 0.75em; background: url(data:,%7B%20%22url%22%3A%20%22http%253A%252F%252Fblog.localdemocracy.org.uk%252F2009%252F01%252F19%252Fthe-lust-for-certainty-a-sin%252F%22%2C%20%22style%22%3A%20%22big%22%2C%20%22title%22%3A%20%22The%20lust%20for%20certainty%20-%20a%20sin%3F%22%20%7D);"></div>
<div id="attachment_392" class="wp-caption alignleft" style="width: 178px"><a href="http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:The_confession.jpg"><img class="size-full wp-image-392" title="confession" src="http://localdemocracy.files.wordpress.com/2009/01/confession.jpg" alt="Bless me Father, I've been certain about something..." width="168" height="208" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Bless me Father, I&#39;ve been a bit certain about something...</p></div>
<p>In a very good edition of BBC Radio 4&#8242;s &#8216;Analysis&#8217; programme towards the end of last year, the columnist David Aaronovich recounted a programme that he produced in the 1980s featuring the Archbishop of York, John Hapgood.</p>
<p>The Archbishop, as far as I can see, had the kind of views that would appeal to a Guardian reader rather that an Anglican traditionalist.</p>
<p>Jonathan Dimbleby asked him if it wasn&#8217;t the case that people needed a bit of certainty about big issues in order to live their lives. the response that the Archbishop gave stunned Dimbleby and Aaronovich. He said&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p><em>Has it occurred to you that the lust for certainty may be a sin?</em></p></blockquote>
<p>The <a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/programmes/analysis/7712933.stm">whole programme</a> is really worth listening to &#8211; I think that <a href="http://www.bbc.co.uk/radio/podcasts/analysis/">podcast subscribers</a> get the option to download all of the archives and <a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/nol/shared/spl/hi/programmes/analysis/transcripts/06_11_08.txt">the transcript is here</a>.</p>
<p>One of my favourite political bloggers, Chris Dillow of <a href="http://stumblingandmumbling.typepad.com/stumbling_and_mumbling/">Stumbling and Mumbling</a> has written a great deal about the curse that the apparent need for certainty places upon democratic politics.</p>
<p><span id="more-390"></span>Just for reference, <a href="http://stumblingandmumbling.typepad.com/stumbling_and_mumbling/2006/11/plato_machiavel.html">all</a> of these <a href="http://stumblingandmumbling.typepad.com/stumbling_and_mumbling/2008/12/experts-the-demand-for-certainty.html">posts</a> are <a href="http://stumblingandmumbling.typepad.com/stumbling_and_mumbling/2008/12/experts-the-demand-for-certainty.html">worth</a> <a href="http://stumblingandmumbling.typepad.com/stumbling_and_mumbling/2008/12/experts-the-demand-for-certainty.html">reading</a>, but Chris&#8217;s strapline &#8211; <em>&#8216;an extremist, not a fanatic&#8217;</em> is probably traceable to his previous career as a stockbroker &#8211; and the advice that every trader receives during their career &#8211; that not being sentimental about stock is a good thing &#8211; and that fanaticism always clouds judgments.</p>
<p>Chris often promotes a <a href="http://www.philosophers.co.uk/cafe/phil_apr2002.htm">Rortean irony</a> as a way of viewing the world, and seems very stuck by James Surowiecki&#8217;s <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Wisdom_of_Crowds">Wisdom of Crowds</a> thesis &#8211; an attractive one, particularly to those who are more open to ideas of direct democracy than I would be.</p>
<p>And what does this distrust for certainty mean for advocates of local democracy? I&#8217;d say that it tells us that a great many consultations throw up the most useless information, as opposed to the most useful. If the general public are widely seen as being too apathetic to turn up to a polling station every few years, the idea that the bulk of people with lightly-held preferences will participate readily on a subject that they are not too bothered about, is a bit outlandish.</p>
<p>So we have, instead, the <em>usual suspect</em> problem. Where people with views that they hold fanatically are very keen to participate, and keen to be heard over the noise of the general public. People who have a vested interest are also likely to be much in evidence. But the <a href="http://blog.localdemocracy.org.uk/2009/01/13/eavesdropable-2/#utm_source=feed&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=feed">eavesdroppable</a> conversation &#8211; the one where ordinary people who hold their views fairly lightly meet &#8211; is one that is never fostered by most consultations.</p>
<p>As a result, we end up with the kind of <em>balance</em> that pervades so much of public life &#8211; one where balance is equated as being the mid-point between two poles of <em>groupthink</em> &#8211; rather than the balance that emerges from a wide range of views.</p>
<p>Which brings us back to the <em>parliamentarian</em> argument &#8211; the need for the <a href="http://blog.localdemocracy.org.uk/2008/12/02/why-is-representative-democracy-the-least-worst-option/#utm_source=feed&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=feed">distributed moral wisdom</a> of the elected.</p>
<div id="crp_related"><h3>Related Posts:</h3><ul><li><a href="http://blog.localdemocracy.org.uk/2010/02/03/expertise/#utm_source=feed&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=feed" rel="bookmark" class="crp_title">Expertise</a></li><li><a href="http://blog.localdemocracy.org.uk/2009/04/16/policy-v-character/#utm_source=feed&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=feed" rel="bookmark" class="crp_title">Policy v Character</a></li><li><a href="http://blog.localdemocracy.org.uk/2009/06/18/demand-revealing-referendums/#utm_source=feed&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=feed" rel="bookmark" class="crp_title">Demand-revealing referendums</a></li><li><a href="http://blog.localdemocracy.org.uk/2008/12/13/cognitive-polyphasia-and-devolved-politics/#utm_source=feed&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=feed" rel="bookmark" class="crp_title">Cognitive polyphasia and devolved politics</a></li><li><a href="http://blog.localdemocracy.org.uk/2009/03/30/and-the-winners-are/#utm_source=feed&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=feed" rel="bookmark" class="crp_title">And the winners are&#8230;..</a></li></ul></div>
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